Didn’t see that coming – Jessica Pegula suffers major setback in race for top-two after surprise Madrid Open exit

The sunlit clay courts of the Mutua Madrid Open, a crucible for tennis’s elite, delivered a stunning upset on April 27, 2025, as world No. 3 Jessica Pegula fell in the third round to Japan’s Moyuka Uchijima, ranked 56th. The 6-3, 6-2 defeat, a masterclass in precision by the unheralded Uchijima, marked Pegula’s earliest Madrid exit since 2021 and dealt a severe blow to her pursuit of the world No. 2 ranking. For the 31-year-old American, who entered the tournament brimming with confidence after a stellar clay season, the loss was a jarring reminder of tennis’s unpredictability.

Pegula’s 2025 campaign had been a showcase of consistency and grit. Fresh off a Charleston Open title—her first on clay—and a runner-up finish in Miami, she was a mere 300 points behind world No. 2 Iga Swiatek, with designs on overtaking the Polish star. Her Madrid journey began promisingly, as she dispatched Germany’s Eva Lys 6-2, 6-2 in the second round, leveraging her 78% first-serve point win rate to assert dominance. “I was just trying to stay steady,” Pegula remarked after the Lys match, a mantra that had fueled her 27 tour-level wins in 2025, the most on the WTA Tour. As a 2022 Madrid finalist, expectations were high for a deep run, especially with Swiatek still in the draw and defending her title.

Against Uchijima, however, Pegula’s game unraveled. The Japanese player, making her Madrid debut and claiming her first Top 10 scalp, was relentless, firing four aces to Pegula’s one and winning 62% of her first-serve points compared to Pegula’s 56%. Uchijima’s aggression exposed Pegula’s struggles, with the American amassing 46 unforced errors in a 74-minute rout. “Nothing went right for her,” one observer noted, a sentiment echoed across social media, where fans marveled at Uchijima’s composure. For Pegula, the second set was particularly grim, as she won just 35% of her second-serve points, a stark contrast to her usual rock-solid baseline play.

The defeat’s ramifications extend beyond the Caja Mágica. Pegula’s No. 3 ranking, already under pressure from compatriot Coco Gauff, who trails by 200 points and remains alive in Madrid, is now at risk. Gauff’s 6-2, 6-3 victory over Ann Li in the third round keeps her in contention, and a deep run could see her leapfrog Pegula. Meanwhile, Swiatek’s continued presence in the tournament widens the gap Pegula had hoped to close. “This is a tough one to swallow,” a fan posted online, capturing the disappointment of a result that halts Pegula’s momentum at a critical juncture.

Pegula’s season, though, is far from defined by this stumble. Her 2024 US Open final appearance, where she fell to Aryna Sabalenka, and her WTA 1000 titles in Toronto and Montreal highlight her elite pedigree. Yet, injuries have loomed large, with a knee issue sidelining her for the WTA Finals and Brisbane earlier this year. “I was kind of battling a little bit of a knee injury,” she admitted in Adelaide, where she reached the final. As she prepares for the Italian Open and Roland Garros, Pegula’s resilience will be tested. Uchijima’s breakthrough, meanwhile, earns her a fourth-round clash, signaling her arrival on the big stage. For Pegula, this Madrid misstep is a detour, not a dead end, in her quest for tennis’s summit.

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